Showing posts with label can't vote. Show all posts
Showing posts with label can't vote. Show all posts

Friday, January 21, 2022

Is your advisor’s “model” ETF option right for you?

 

Make the New Year better

 

Is owning a TIPS fund or ETF right for you?

A kind of bond issued by the US Treasury has complexities that baffle most investors who use them. They are not as simple as buying them to avoid losing purchase power to inflation. Many took the bait in 2020 with the promise of 5.5% vs -1.5% for the bond index. Semi-annual adjustments to the securities means TIPS are good at protection against unexpected inflation. So for most people, stocks will provide better long-term protection from inflation. For retirees, holding 10-20% of their bond allocation in TIPS may help settle out the stock market gyrations. Many retirees use high dividend payers to accomplish the same goal. The low-cost versions of all these options will do better than costly broker/advisor-managed ones simply because paying 2% to earn 5% provides you with only 3% net. The calculated yield is another big headache since not every fund is a pure TIPS play. Some add in derivatives to make their fund attractive. None of these offerings provides an inflation-busting guarantee. A better strategy is an over-weighted balanced fund plus diversified low-cost stock funds. Low-cost always beats high-cost.

https://www.amazon.com/Reset-Your-Retirement-Income-retirement/dp/1512304344

 

How can you deal with inflation?

Inflation of 7% is the running rate for the new year based on current price increases. Gas, food and rent-price jumps may have convinced you that something needs to be done. If you are an investor or retired person living on your investments, you may have heard the discussion of bond and stock prices changing drastically last month. Indeed, after the stock market index hit 28% last year, ’22 has taken some of your account balance away already. For those relying on their brokerage firm or advisor, the word from Goldman is: “Sticking with Stocks Is Best Bet to Beat Inflation.” Goldman favors equities in energy, financials, resources, real estate and infrastructure. Real estate has come off a year of over 40% but since the value of leases and contracts often rises when inflation increases, this will remain a good bet against inflation. Index funds usually cost much less than an advisor and so if most analysts think we will have single digit returns, Vanguard may be a better home to rest in 2022 than a full-service firm. Good health.

Use the low-cost leader: https://www.amazon.com/Vanguards-Top-Ten-mutual-funds/dp/150073909X

 

How to invest if you are NOT rich

There is a way to become rich even if you don’t have a lot of money and are not able to pick the next Amazon or Google stock. It requires you to wait for your money to grow by itself using the Miracle of Compounding. You know the principle of compound interest. If you lend a $1 to your bank, you will be paid interest each year. After 40 years, you will have $2.22 at 2%. Rates of interest are low right now, but in the 1980s, you could earn 8-12%. I saved for my first house down payment then. The stock market returns average over 11% over time, so you could have $80 from $1. If you could invest $100 per month in large company stocks, you could have $880,000 in 40 years. $100 a month is $3.34 a day. Almost everyone could do that if their mutual fund company could automatically deduct the $100 a month from their bank account. You would have to wait and never touch the money during those 40 years. Actually, fund firms have tested that plan: the highest accumulations were in accounts that the owner forgot they had. They left the account to compound by itself. Vanguard offers a low-cost large company stock fund that has returned 11.66% since 1976. Clients make money the ‘old-fashioned way;’ patience.

You should too: https://www.amazon.com/Just-Takes-Time-money-old-fashioned-ebook/dp/B07751F8N2

 

Can you trust online tax prep software?
If you use your prior year returns to guide you, you can easily navigate most online software tax services and save money. Most are free for Federal and some are free for some states. With direct deposit, you have the simplest and fastest way to do taxes. I have used a number of the services offered by the IRS-approved sites: https://www.irs.gov/ filing/free-file-do-your-federal-taxes-for-free. As an AARP tax preparer, I know some of these sites offer simple entry screens and good support. Even if you have a complicated return, these packages are manageable. As I tell AARP users, try to do your own taxes first then consider going to a costly preparer. The IRS has warned us that it is still doing last years returns so make sure you enter the correct amounts for the child tax credit and economic stimulus checks received last year. The IRS sent a letter to remind us. Beware of other tax preparers claiming FREE but add charges after you start. After 2-3 weeks, track your refund: https://www.irs.gov/refunds. If you need to know your previous year tax information, order a transcript from the IRS files: https://www.irs.gov/individuals/get-transcript. Your refund could pay for a secure retirement. $2,000 a year earns $500,000.

Let Uncle Sam help you: https://www.amazon.com/Tax-Refund-Millionaires-Let-Uncle-Help/dp/149595644X/

 

Is your advisor’s “model” ETF option right for you?

Model portfolio assets have more than doubled over the last five years. Many providers of models are asset managers, who stand to benefit from new cash flowing to their funds. Meanwhile, financial advisers have embraced them as a way to outsource allocation decisions so more time can be spent attracting and serving clients. “Investors who chase the recommendations also behave differently, as they pay less attention to both the price and the performance of the ETFs,” a new study found. Model providers recommend their affiliated ETFs more frequently, and these tend to have lower performance and higher fees than recommended unaffiliated ETFs. Over time, advisor and firm fees can take up to 63% of your potential earnings. Fees are guaranteed; earnings are never guaranteed.

Follow Buffett’s advice: https://www.amazon.com/Warren-Buffett-Your-Investment-Advisor/dp/1518690963

 

Is using an advisor right for you?

Many financial outlets claim that you can increase your returns by using a paid advisor. Consider the source: financial media depends on paid advisors and their firms for income so it makes sense to claim a paid advisor can help you. However, we all know that you can save big money by shopping direct—eliminate the “middle man markup.” Also, few advisors can beat a low-cost stock index simply because of the costs. The unbiased financial scorekeeper, Dalbar, has found that the average advisor-managed returns were 3.79% compared with the S&P 500 index of 11.06%. Warren Buffett put his money on the Vanguard’s 500 Index fund in a bet with a stock picking guru and 5 hedge funds. Buffett won the bet. He also designated the Vanguard low-cost index fund in his will for his heirs. Stock funds underperformed indexes nearly 93% of the time. Over time, advisor fees, charges, trading and bad decisions will lower your total accumulations by 63% or more. In every time period, low-cost funds beat high-cost funds, Morningstar showed.

Go with Buffett: https://www.amazon.com/Warren-Buffetts-Vanguard-Funds-Retirement/dp/1496148592

 

 

 

 

?**********ACCOUNTABILITY**************?

 

 

Like 1776, this period is a test of democracyWe rejected an "American fascist" once

 

 

The Path to Dictatorship: 2010-2030

 

 

Terrorist attack fueled by propaganda

 

Congress fails to support democracy

 

Trump’s plan for coup

 

companies slam voter suppression laws, then donate to their sponsors

 

 

US civil war II

 

 

How Govt wastes our money:

TX already rejecting half of 700 mail-in applications for ballots: only GOP get ballot

Supremes decide Covid vaxx mandate cancelled: 865,000 dead: voted to continue deaths

Counties hide Covid death count: family/political reason fake causes: plague--1 million

 

SS benefit increase may raise tax bill: income threshold never adjusted: thanks Congress

10 wealthiest men doubled their fortunes: most pay lower tax rate than we do

Wealth group: “few if any of us can honestly say that we pay our fair share in taxes"

Wealthy tax-avoiders replacing residents of Puerto Rico: Beverly Hills in Caribbean

 

 

Manchin: parents waste monthly child tax payments on drugs instead of their children

Manchin coal company receives coal subsidies from our taxes: parties on houseboats

 

Biden spin to Putin: “any assembled units” NO; “Unassembled” guerillas across is OK?

Military bases near Ukraine: Black Sea region ground and air forces cost us $ millions.

 

 

SCAMS/SPINS:

OH Supremes cancel GOP election landslide gerrymandering: small step for OH humans

FL funds “brown shirt” type police use tips to arrest anyone allege violation of elections 

Don has to worry about kids spilling beans and FL mini-‘Reich

Parallel: Al Capone, Don Trump: tax evasion case lies about assets and taxes

 

FedEx to use laser heat gun to deter should-fired missiles from packages

Tesla problems in heating/cooling of Model 3 and Model Y vehicles

Your 5G phone could crash airplanes: no one foresaw telecom conflict before today?

 

Martin Shkreli barred from industry fined $64.6 million Daraprim guage block generic

Metals.com, Chase Metals caught selling overpriced gold silver bullion $185 million

Scam: favorite digital and promissory notes easy to fake: large return for the risk.

 

Codie D. Malesker caught faking damage insurance reimbursement: jail 15 weekends

Perry Santillo caught stealing $100 million Ponzi scheme  prison17 years

Tesla on autopilot kills 2: driver not Elon indicted for manslaughter: No clapping in truck

 

Fake online offers: how to spot a fake website and goods

Fake QR codes to steal money: they direct people to malicious sites: just click delete

 

Millions of store & restaurant workers with Covid-19 are serving us: no sick days

 

Just dumb: GOP says life-saving Covid vaxx mandate is same as the Nazis killing Jews

TX GOP move to the right paid for by the wealthy: Porters, Wilks, Dunn

Mind control: powerful propaganda has convinced Trumpers that the dead don’t die

 

Jobs

Study shows college for some career degrees are not cost effective: nothing new

Hobbies That Help You Live Longer: Active outgoing social life

Home office deduction for your business: not for work from home

 

10 fastest growing 2022 jobs

Fastest job growth regions: hiring ID, WA, NC top list

 

Who owns your account now?

Even generic drugs have price increases as drug companies want higher profits

Auto insurance rates rise: time to shop for lower rates: bundling may not help

Avg monthly new car payment $636 a new high: same 70 month term

 

Activision Blizzard to Microsoft: Call to Duty for Mr Gates to play

Streaming costs more: look harder for free services

SEC makes it harder to find private co data: assures wealthy hide fortunes better

 

Miracles:

Cancer mortality rates continue to decline: lung cancer drop; no smokers

Free at-⁠home COVID-⁠19 tests: 4 while they last: check expiration date

Some states have lowered their taxes for 2022: Iowa phasing out inheritance tax

 

In our minds: Covid shot side effects (headache and fatigue) are from anxiety not vaxx.

Snow and hailstorms cover Saudi desert: Iceberg falls into ocean

IRS videos answer questions quicker than a phone call: IRS failed to answer 50%

 

We can apply for Medicare online: https://blog.ssa.gov/apply-for-medicare-online

We can apply for Social Security online: https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/

We can apply for health care online: https://www.healthcare.gov/

 

IAN

41 Watchung Plaza, B242

MontclairNJ   07042

973.746.2014

www.InsuranceAdvisorsNetwork.com

Alerts available at http://dankeppel.blogspot.com/

 

Friday, July 2, 2021

Where is your portfolio so far in ’21?

 

Where is your portfolio so far in ’21?

Some of our readers have shared their wise decisions to stick with the indexes and low-cost mutual funds. Most use Vanguard funds and don’t trade. They follow the 3 Bs—“Buffett, Bogle and Bible” strategy. Ask your advisor how you did so far in 2021.

 

2021 Total Return Fund                    Long-term Return      Longevity

15.2% 500 Index                                             11.3% since 1976

17.3% Energy                                                    8.8% since 1984

15.5% Extended Market                                  10.7% since 1987

10.4% Health                                                   16.2% since 1984

  6.3% International Growth                              11.6% since 1981

17.7% PRIMECAP                                         14.2% since 1984

16.4% Small Cap Index                                    10.6% since 1960

  5.1% Wellesley Income                                    9.7% since 1970

19.6% Windsor                                                11.5% since 1958

19.0% Windsor II                                            11.2% since 1985

14.3% Average                                                11.6% *

            *Average Annual Returns as of 06/30/21.

Investing just $250 a month in the 500 Index alone can compound (Buffett’s secret formula) to $1,000,000 in 33 years. That’s $99,000 in and $999,999 out.

https://www.amazon.com/Buffett-Bogle-Holy-Bible-Investment/dp/1523693045

 

How do we know our advisor is taking advantage of us?

Even the wealthiest get taken by their “trusted” advisor. We are subject to the same bad treatment. I follow the abuse of those who put their hard-won assets with a paid “professional” money handler. If you don’t understand the cool-sounding products you own or how much you paid for them, you are being abused. If you don’t get consistent logical communication from your advisor, you are being abused. I once told my broker to sell my investment in a fund and he ignored my request, advising me to transfer the money to an annuity. My complaint to his boss was ignored. I took my money elsewhere. Wall Street makes it almost impossible to learn about the bad actors. It is easy to get their ‘rap’ sheet of complaints wiped off the record at https://brokercheck.finra.org/. Arbitrators in the Finra-administered forum are “rubber stamping” expungement (delete) requests. Many brokers or their firms settle before the hearing, thus erasing it. If you feel pushed into transactions, you are being abused. The people who get ripped off by financial advisors are those who do not pay attention. Ignoring the details of what you own leads to abuse. Advisors must generate revenue to stay employed so they will interpret your goals differently than you do. You can’t just tell them to “make money.”

https://www.amazon.com/Warren-Buffett-Your-Investment-Advisor/dp/1518690963

 

Can our employer help us accumulate enough to retire?

Large employers have the ability to help us with low-cost high-return investment options. A small biz may use an insurance agent to set up high-cost annuities for each person. Both employers can help us grow our nest egg without current taxes but poor and expensive options from an insurer can kill long-term accumulation. Example: Big firms offer us 401k plans with low-cost index funds (0.04%) that can compound our contributions at 11% per year. After having $125 invested in a stock index fund every 2 weeks, we can build a $1-2,000,000 retirement. Our $250 a month goes into a tax-deferred plan so our income tax is less each year. Small firms put us in plans with overall long-term costs of 1-2% which can take 63% of our possible accumulation. There are better solutions for those stuck in these plans but we must pursue them ourselves.

Use this guide: https://www.amazon.com/New-American-Retirement-System-ReserveTM/dp/1461030072

 

Do you over think your investments?

Who are these new Wall Street gamblers? The typical soldier in the army of retail traders upending Wall Street is a 31-year old who grabs their smartphone seven times a day to check the assets in their first-ever brokerage account, which may well hold a good chunk of cryptocurrencies in addition to stocks. It is the excitement of the chase, the thrill of beating the paid “professionals” and the fun of doing the opposite of what investment wise men and women profess from experience. When the general stock and crypto markets are booming, neophytes will jump at anything with a good story. Hey why not put down some money since everyone else is. When the ‘other shoe’ drops and markets go against these new players, who will they blame? Will these new gamblers stay pat or run for the hills when their accounts fall. New gamblers are not your typical ‘buy and hold’ investors so new BDs may not survive when buying stops. Gamblers usually don’t know the time-honored “regression to the mean” so they may be financially crippled.

Switch to the long view: https://www.amazon.com/Money-Ball-Investing-Winning-unfair-market/dp/1548831409

 

 

 

**********ACCOUNTABILITY**************

 

 

Like 1776, this period is a test of democracyWe rejected an "American fascist" once

 

 

Our Jan 6 ‘Truth and Reconciliation Commission

 

Trump’s Attorney General: “Trump bullsh*t

 

Finally, Biden fighting for voters

 

Too late: Supremes decide we can’t vote anymore

 

How Govt wastes our money:

Pentagon tells us again “there are no UFOs”: just dirt on windshield or space garbage?

GOP says Biden does not have a done infra. deal: Congress needs another vacation?

Congress to pass Voting Rights Act II after Supremes kill 1965 law: no voter fraud now

 

Court: Facebook can’t be a monopoly since it already bought the competition: too late!

SD sending troops to guard Texas from Mexican invasion: GOP’s private army?

Supremes decide CA can’t see private army funders: rich hide influence in elections

 

Jan 6 coup attempt investigation: little GOP help unlike Benghazi terrorist attack panel

 

SCAMS/SPINS:

B of A Merrill took higher fees on rollovers of unit investment trusts: fine; no jail

Crown Capital Securities caught selling high-fee funds; not offering others; fine $1.3 mill

Crypto sellers take big fees: at casino, the only investment winner is the house

16 Cars That Now Cost More Used Than New: did you want chips with that order?

 

 

Phillip Conley Alpax stole $5 mil caught fake statements with high returns; prison

Burlington Financial caught offering fake debt relief credit repair stole $30 mil; no refund

Robinhood caught giving false information misled about options: fine; $12 mil refunds

 

Isaiah Goodman MoneyVerbs caught promising “safe, secure, profitable” returns: 7 years

‘My Book Live’ data at risk: remote deletion of hard drive by hackers

83 percent of young adults fell for scams, more than any other age group: Facebook leads

 

Google Voice Scam: typically associated with Craigslist when you sell—phone public

Amazon Echo automatically shares your internet with neighbors: we are all connected

 

CA officials won’t travel to states that discriminate: 17 states with hate LGBTQ laws

 

Boy Scouts offer insurance money to sex abuse victims: sex abusers go free; none jailed.

J&J caught promoting opioids in NY and world: fine; no jail: lawyers retire on $27 mil

NC man faked his own kidnapping to get money out of grandparents to pay drug dealer

 

Agora Health publications using deceptive health/income claims to seniors: FTC ignored

Medicare screens: check if you are already covered: https://www.medicare.gov/coverage

Ban on “surprise” medical bills starts NEXT Jan: doctors I didn’t hire bill $thousands$

 

Only unvaxxed admitted hospital for Covid now: half of Americans still say no

Vaxx: “if the government says to do something, you need to do the opposite” Moscovite

 

Inspectors saw erosion from years of sea flooding in basement car park. Miami floods!

Warming warning: Congress waiting for polar ice to float into NY harbor to stop CO

 

Tesla recalls 300,000 3s, Ys made in China: auto driver software fix: no backseat driving

Passenger jumps from plane taking off after fight: mask mandate?

 

Gun play now requires insurance: rights and responsibility: pay to play Wild West is fair

When everyone has a gun, the heroes get shot: hero had killer’s gun so police shot him

Trump on US: “They want law and order”; US indicts Trump org. Trump evades the law.

 

Trump tax-evasion scam: $21 mil tax deduction for not selling his mansion’s backyard

 

Jobs

Surfside Mayor: “We just need to start to get a little more lucky right now.

FL gov wants juveniles to pay all their lives for mistakes: no jobs, housing, educations.

 

Who owns your account now?

El Salvador currency: Crypto seller installs 1500 crypto ATMs: Bitcoin costs $30,000 ea?

Scotland Yard seizes millions in crypto from money laundering operation

Are there FREE colleges: some requirements

 

Miracles:

Nearly all COVID-19 deaths now in people who weren’t vaccinated: even Trump got vax

MIT builds computer from molecules: almost perfected

Jonathan Bauer jumped off bridge to save toddler who fell into bay after a vehicle crash

 

Virus mutates back in LA: Masks required indoors

West: British Columbia reached 121: Warming buckles roads GOP is silent

$949 cancer test: reduce 5-year cancer mortality by about 40% prevent 100,000 deaths

 

We can apply for Medicare online: https://blog.ssa.gov/apply-for-medicare-online

We can apply for Social Security online: https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/

We can apply for health care online: https://www.healthcare.gov/

 

IAN

41 Watchung Plaza, B242

MontclairNJ   07042

973.746.2014

www.InsuranceAdvisorsNetwork.com

Alerts available at http://dankeppel.blogspot.com/