Friday, October 11, 2019

How long to hold stocks?


How long do we have to hold stocks to win with stocks?
Wall Street media gives the impression that we should sell just before they go down when an analyst thinks they will. But analysts can’t see the future. So we follow someone’s ‘advice’ or the crowd and we lose. Guess what happens? Advisor-managed equity accounts earn 5.19-3.79% vs 9-11% for a simple market index fund of stocks that remain for long periods. What does one of the most successful investors say: he says hold them “forever.” He bet $1 million against a Wall Street guru to prove it. He has owned Coke since the 1980s; Geico since 1996; Amex since the 1960s; and many more. How has Buffett done so far? His average return is 20.5% per year since 1965. Not bad.

How do millionaires start their savings plan?
Unless you inherit your father’s $413 million you must start your $1,000,000 fund somehow. Survey says save 10% of income is how you begin. 80% of the self-made millionaires studied didn't get wealthy until after age 50 — but that almost all of them started the same way. They used ‘buckets’ to make their goals specific. Each bucket has a specific saving/investing vehicle. Short-term expenses are funded from savings and CDs while retirement expenses are funded with low-cost securities. The rich increased their savings as their income increased meaning that they learned to live within their means—80% of income for current expenses and 20% for the future. Millionaires understand the Miracle of Compounding. Stocks earn 11% a year: $1 million in 34-36 years; $2 million in 40. If Don had just used a stock index he would have $11 Billion by now, not $3 Bn.

Not all S&P 500 index funds give great returns
Unfortunately, not all S&P 500 index funds act the same. Some don’t follow the benchmark so they don’t produce 11% over time. DALBAR tracks the index and equity account returns over time. So we know some employers use an index fund in their 401k plan that actually doesn’t follow the benchmark they are supposed to track. Insurers in particular are providing expensive or poorly designed index funds to smaller employers. Employees are suing Community Health Systems since it uses Principal Large Cap S&P 500 index fund. This fund allegedly lagged its benchmark by an average 9.1 basis points between 2010 and 2018, while similar funds offered by BlackRock, Vanguard Group, State Street and Northern Trust lagged by roughly 1 to 2 basis points on average. This underperformance, plaintiffs claimed, led to poor performance that lost participants some of their retirement savings. Over long periods of poor tracking and or high fees, employers actually cut employee retirement packages by 63%. For some employees, it would be better to use a self-directed Roth IRA account instead of the company’s plan. A Roth IRA is tax-FREE after age 59.5. It can earn 11% over time.

Why do the most expensive cars have the most problems?
Land Rover, Mercedes-Benz, Volvo, Jaguar, Acura. These are some of the most expensive cars you can buy. So why did JD Power survey of owners find they have more than average problems? The annual J.D. Power study gauges dependability of 3-year-old vehicles over the last 12 months, meaning this year's survey assessed the 2016 model year. Let’s look at management/owners for the answer. Lexus and Toyota seem to be consistently near the top of the list of fewest problems. Who owns the bottom feeders? Fiat, the most problems, owns Alfa Romeo, Chrysler, Dodge, Ferrari, Jeep, Lancia, Maserati, and Ram. Tata owns Jaguar and Land Rover. Zhejiang Geely owns Volvo. Ford owns Lincoln. Honda has Acura which is usually high on the list. BMW owns Mini and Rolls Royce. Renault owns Nissan and Infiniti. VW owns Audi, Bentley, Bugatti, Lamborghini, Porsche, SEAT and Skoda. Management determines how well it’s built.

First time in US: $50K a year earners now pay higher tax rate than Billionaires
US is no longer a progressive tax country. Trump has given his class what they wanted. The TV celeb has reversed most progressive trends. As Warren Buffett illustrated, his assistants pay a higher rate than he does: they pay 32.9%; he pays 17.7% with no special tax shelter or overseas account like Apple, Google, Amazon, Boeing, GE, etc. 2/3rds of all businesses pay $0 tax. Plus we taxpayers must subsidize many profitable businesses like oil, gas, agribusiness, air carriers, etc, etc. Many aren’t even American.



**********ACCOUNTABILITY**************

This period is a test of democracy—do we really want it or not?

Can China and Scotland and Russia investigate Trump cos. too?


We pay for meds: 11 suspicious deaths at the Louis A. Johnson VA Medical Center
Will FBI investigate Don’s mob foreign activity: conspiracy, bribery, extortion?
Trump promised cheaper drugs AGAIN but cut $845 billion from Medicare budget.

Trump recalls troops despite GOP: what about 150 other countries with troops?


SCAMS/SPINS:
Bank fees rise as interest rates fall: bank management takes bigger bonus

Guns for protection! Two men opened fire at a bar in Kansas City: 4 died; 5 injured
When everyone has a gun: family is likely to become a victim
James Booth Ins Trends, defrauded 40 clients of $5 million promised “safe high returns”


School retirement plans accused of overcharging teachers for 403b options: poor service



GOP party AFTER Trump leaves: no stand—allowed Kurds to be kicked out.


MN police using uniforms to show Trump support: Citizens see bias not ‘to serve’
WV group prepares for ‘civil war’ Trump predicted “veneer of civilization is very thin”

Trump calls Congress’s bluff: ‘I won’t play’—what you gona do about it?
Official Impeachment Defense Task Force” gives Trump $ millions on Facebook


Jobs
Meredith cuts 1,200 jobs at Sports Illustrated, TIME, Fortune, Money

Health care jobs are changing: ‘touch’ industry grows with aging


Who owns your account now?
Your driver's license needs a star at the top in order to fly: new to catch terrorists.
CO offers new state health insurance option to lower costs for individual cover.

Miracle:
Bear cubs escape locked van but caught using horn to get out
Mom gives up her terrorist son: plan to kill thwarted—saves lives but cost her a son

IAN
41 Watchung Plaza, B242
MontclairNJ   07042
973.746.2014
Alerts 

No comments: